This week stocks are expected to enter the third quarter on uncertain footing after the Dow had briefly fell into bear-market territory, battered by record oil prices and a slumping financial sector.
The June employment report, which will be the main focus coming out on Thursday July 3, because of a holiday-shortened week. The market will therefore pay extra attention to the jobs report after the May unemployment rate showed a surprise jump to 5.5% last month. Analysts are expecting the unemployment rate to have fallen back to 5.4%.
Stocks traded sharply lower ending last week, with crude oil near $143 a barrel, ailing financials and uncertainties about the economy all adding up to a market that has lost nearly 20% from its 2007 highs, making an official entry into bear-market territory.
After sliding nearly 360 points on Thursday and falling further on Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 4.2% lower at 11,346 down on its worst June since 1930. The Dow also has now lost nearly 20% since its Oct. 9, 2007 record high of 14,165. The test of the next support would be at the 10700 levels.
“I never hesitate to tell a man that I am bullish or bearish. But I do not tell people to buy or sell any particular stock. In a bear market all stocks go down and in a bull market they go up” – Jesse Livermore
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With all the news about being on the cusp of a bear market the market is facing a strong headwind. Inverse EFTs have worked well for me last week. I bought gold on Wednesday. People are talking about a bounce; I don’t know.